Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 24-21-8
4–5
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-18-14
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
11211321600441
NYI
0133121711533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
PIT 24-21-8 · NYI 23-18-14 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
Penguins fell to the Islanders
The Penguins created the better chances (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Pelech's goal. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 41 and 33 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 41 shots
NYI 2.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marcus Pettersson · 1st 12:48 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:40 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 06:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 13:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Lars Eller · 2nd 16:35 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Mike Reilly · 3rd 10:42 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 12:06 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 13:02 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Adam Pelech · OT 00:57 · 4–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 62.
PIT 62%NYI 38%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marcus Pettersson · 1st 12:48 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:40 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 06:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 13:15 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Lars Eller · 2nd 16:35 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Mike Reilly · 3rd 10:42 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 12:06 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 13:02 · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Adam Pelech · OT 00:57 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Kris Letang, Reilly Smith · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–4
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.