Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 25-21-8
4–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 22-27-8
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11221015427
MTL
1140809131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 3–0
PIT 25-21-8 · MTL 22-27-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 3–0
Penguins beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.7 expected goals); the Penguins won 4–1. Tristan Jarry stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 31 shots on goal.
PIT 2.3 xG · 27 shots
MTL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 09:05 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kris Letang · 1st 11:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 11:30 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 11:51 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Kris Letang · 3rd 18:35 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 44.
PIT 44%MTL 56%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Matheson · 1st 09:05 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kris Letang · 1st 11:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 11:30 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 11:51 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Kris Letang · 3rd 18:35 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.