Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 26-21-8
7–6
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 30-22-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
211210311732
PHI
173925621
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
PIT 26-21-8 · PHI 30-22-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Penguins beat the Flyers
The Penguins earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, and a 7–6 win to show for it. Cal Petersen allowed 4.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
PIT 2.7 xG · 32 shots
PHI 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 02:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 09:38 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 17:15 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 00:55 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Bryan Rust · 2nd 11:15 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Emil Bemstrom · 2nd 13:38 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 16:33 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Scott Laughton · 2nd 17:36 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
9
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 06:41 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 08:38 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
11
Cam York · 3rd 10:10 · 6–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
12
Kris Letang · 3rd 15:13 · 7–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
13
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 17:57 · 7–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 61.
PIT 61%PHI 39%
Goals and penalties
13 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 02:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 09:38 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 17:15 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Foerster · 2nd 00:55 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Bryan Rust · 2nd 11:15 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Emil Bemstrom · 2nd 13:38 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 16:33 · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Scott Laughton · 2nd 17:36 · SH · 4–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
9
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 06:41 · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 08:38 · 6–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
11
Cam York · 3rd 10:10 · 6–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
12
Kris Letang · 3rd 15:13 · GWG · 7–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
13
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 17:57 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 7–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
3
Marcus Pettersson, Sidney Crosby · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
2nd period
3rd period
10
Sidney Crosby, Marcus Pettersson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6–4
No penalties
Goaltending
15/21 saves · 6 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/32 saves · 7 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 4.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.