Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 28-27-8
0–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 39-21-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
013012016041
EDM
213012217442
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–2
PIT 28-27-8 · EDM 39-21-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–2
Penguins fell to the Oilers
The Penguins were outchanced (4.4 to 3.4 expected goals) and lost 0–4. Calvin Pickard stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.4, on 42 and 41 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 41 shots
EDM 4.4 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 1.4
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 01:08 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 08:53 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 10:42 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 15:58 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 36.
PIT 36%EDM 64%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 01:08 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 08:53 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 10:42 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 15:58 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–3
No penalties
Goaltending
38/42 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
41/41 saves · 0 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.