PIT
6–3
DET
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 30-28-9
6–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 34-28-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
315211112638
DET
14112112328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 30-28-9 · DET 34-28-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Red Wings
The Penguins earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Alex Lyon allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
PIT 3.7 xG · 38 shots
DET 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
1.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 10:10 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 15:39 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sidney Crosby · 1st 18:53 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
· 1st 19:16 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 09:34 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
6
Christian Fischer · 2nd 17:35 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
7
Lars Eller · 2nd 19:39 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 16:37 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 19:34 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 67.
PIT 67%DET 33%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 10:10 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 15:39 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Sidney Crosby · 1st 18:53 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
· 1st 19:16 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 09:34 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
6
Christian Fischer · 2nd 17:35 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
7
Lars Eller · 2nd 19:39 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 16:37 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Marcus Pettersson, Erik Karlsson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
