PIT
4–1
CAR
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 31-30-10
4–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 45-21-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
082529422
CAR
09115015139
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
PIT 31-30-10 · CAR 45-21-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Penguins beat the Hurricanes
The Penguins were outchanced (2.9 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.7, on 39 and 22 shots on goal.
PIT 1.7 xG · 22 shots
CAR 2.9 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 02:41 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 11:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 18:09 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 18:04 · 3–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
5
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 19:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 31.
PIT 31%CAR 69%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 02:41 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 11:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 18:09 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Drew O'Connor · 3rd 18:04 · EN · 3–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
5
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
