PIT
5–4
TBL
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 36-30-11
5–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 43-27-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11431014528
TBL
06116312434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
PIT 36-30-11 · TBL 43-27-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
Penguins beat the Lightning
The Penguins earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, and a 5–4 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 34 shots on goal.
PIT 3.6 xG · 28 shots
TBL 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 1.5
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 04:20 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:06 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 12:15 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Kris Letang · 2nd 14:39 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 16:57 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 00:25 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 07:23 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 10:45 · 4–4 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Michael Bunting · 3rd 14:32 · 5–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 62.
PIT 62%TBL 38%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 04:20 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:06 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 12:15 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Kris Letang · 2nd 14:39 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 16:57 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 00:25 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 07:23 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 10:45 · PP · 4–4
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Michael Bunting · 3rd 14:32 · GWG · 5–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Michael Eyssimont, Mitchell Chaffee · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–2
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
