PIT
6–5
DET
Final / OT · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 37-30-12
6–5
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 38-32-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
282101712627
DET
2101102901530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
PIT 37-30-12 · DET 38-32-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
Penguins beat the Red Wings
The Penguins were outchanced (3.6 to 3.0 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Karlsson's goal anyway. Alex Lyon allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 3.0 xG · 27 shots
DET 3.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 02:40 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (64%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 03:39 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Kris Letang · 1st 15:09 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Lucas Raymond · 1st 19:46 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 07:58 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Bryan Rust · 2nd 12:44 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Jeff Petry · 2nd 19:24 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Jeff Carter · 3rd 03:32 · 5–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 12:56 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 14:53 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
11
Erik Karlsson · OT 01:40 · 6–5 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 41.
PIT 41%DET 59%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 02:40 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (64%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 03:39 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Kris Letang · 1st 15:09 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Lucas Raymond · 1st 19:46 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 07:58 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Bryan Rust · 2nd 12:44 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Jeff Petry · 2nd 19:24 · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Jeff Carter · 3rd 03:32 · SH · 5–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 12:56 · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 14:53 · 5–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
11
Erik Karlsson · OT 01:40 · GWG · 6–5
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/27 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
