PIT
4–2
NSH
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 38-31-12
4–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 47-30-5
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
22018110438
NSH
0521609230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 38-31-12 · NSH 47-30-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Predators
The Penguins earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.8, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Penguins owned the 1st period, 2.2 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 38 and 30 shots on goal.
PIT 4.1 xG · 38 shots
NSH 2.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 07:02 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
2
Erik Karlsson · 1st 13:50 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 07:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Reilly Smith · 2nd 08:21 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 17:36 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Emil Bemstrom · 3rd 02:42 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 68.
PIT 68%NSH 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 07:02 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
2
Erik Karlsson · 1st 13:50 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 07:24 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Reilly Smith · 2nd 08:21 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 17:36 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Emil Bemstrom · 3rd 02:42 · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
