PIT
6–5
BUF
Final / OT · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-2-0
6–5
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
11321121811643
BUF
3901021400533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 3-2-0 · BUF 1-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Sabres
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Penguins erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Rakell's equalizer with 0:46 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Crosby's goal. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 5.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 43 and 33 shots on goal.
PIT 5.6 xG · 43 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
3.4 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 00:43 · 0–1 · wrap around shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jordan Greenway · 1st 03:08 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 11:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
JJ Peterka · 1st 11:33 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 09:12 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 15:20 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 03:26 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
8
JJ Peterka · 3rd 10:16 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 10:56 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 19:14 · 5–5 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
11
Sidney Crosby · OT 01:38 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 86.
PIT 86%BUF 14%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 00:43 · 0–1
Wrap around shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jordan Greenway · 1st 03:08 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 11:01 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
JJ Peterka · 1st 11:33 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Drew O'Connor · 2nd 09:12 · SH · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 15:20 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 03:26 · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
8
JJ Peterka · 3rd 10:16 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 10:56 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 19:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
11
Sidney Crosby · OT 01:38 · PP · GWG · 6–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
2/5 saves · 3 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
