PIT
1–4
CAR
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-3-0
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1407015126
CAR
19218111438
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 3-3-0 · CAR 2-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Hurricanes
The Penguins were outchanced (4.0 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Frederik Andersen stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
PIT 2.8 xG · 26 shots
CAR 4.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
3rd
1.9 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 12:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 13:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 06:52 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 17:13 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 11:00 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 32.
PIT 32%CAR 68%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 12:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 13:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 06:52 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 17:13 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 11:00 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
1
Lars Eller, Jesse Puljujarvi · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
