Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 5-7-1
3–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1511613324
MTL
05010111126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–0
PIT 5-7-1 · MTL 4-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–0
Penguins beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (1.9 to 1.9 expected goals); the Penguins won 3–1. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 24 and 26 shots on goal.
PIT 1.9 xG · 24 shots
MTL 1.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 15:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 18:40 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 05:32 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 19:15 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 49.
PIT 49%MTL 51%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 15:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 18:40 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 05:32 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
4
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.