Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 6-9-2
1–7
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 9-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
071608121
DAL
612010118740
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 6-9-2 · DAL 9-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Stars
The Penguins were outchanced (4.3 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 1–7. Joel Blomqvist allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 40 and 21 shots on goal.
PIT 1.8 xG · 21 shots
DAL 4.3 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.2
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 02:33 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 07:13 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mason Marchment · 1st 10:16 · 0–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 13:09 · 0–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 14:37 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Tyler Seguin · 1st 18:39 · 0–6 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 15:03 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 15:10 · 1–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 16.
PIT 16%DAL 84%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 02:33 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 07:13 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mason Marchment · 1st 10:16 · 0–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 13:09 · 0–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 14:37 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Tyler Seguin · 1st 18:39 · PP · 0–6
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 15:03 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 15:10 · PP · 1–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
5/8 saves · 3 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.