PIT
2–3
TBL
Final / OT · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 7-10-4
2–3
Final / OTL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 10-6-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
19160400219
TBL
01001221211335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 7-10-4 · TBL 10-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Lightning
The Penguins let a 2–0 lead get away: the Lightning came back with three unanswered goals — Cirelli's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Point's goal. The Lightning owned the 3rd period, 1.3 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.2, on 35 and 19 shots on goal.
PIT 1.2 xG · 19 shots
TBL 3.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.3
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesse Puljujarvi · 1st 12:05 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 13:05 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 05:41 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 12:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · OT 03:58 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 14.
PIT 14%TBL 86%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesse Puljujarvi · 1st 12:05 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 13:05 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 05:41 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 12:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · OT 03:58 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
