Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 7-12-4
1–6
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 8-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
01011206128
UTA
21119310630
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 7-12-4 · UTA 8-9-3 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Mammoth
The Penguins were outchanced (3.5 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 1–6. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 30 and 28 shots on goal.
PIT 2.6 xG · 28 shots
UTA 3.5 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
1.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack McBain · 1st 08:54 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 13:07 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 03:11 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 10:37 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 06:38 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 07:25 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 15:59 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 35.
PIT 35%UTA 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack McBain · 1st 08:54 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 13:07 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 03:11 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 10:37 · PP · 1–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 06:38 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 07:25 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 15:59 · PP · 1–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/30 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.