PIT
5–4
FLA
Final / OT · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 11-12-4
5–4
Final / OTW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
25151511516
FLA
11301131700441
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 11-12-4 · FLA 15-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Panthers
The Penguins were outchanced (3.3 to 1.9 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Rust's goal anyway. Spencer Knight allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 41 and 16 shots on goal.
PIT 1.9 xG · 16 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Pickering · 1st 09:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 10:32 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 17:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kris Letang · 2nd 06:54 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Marcus Pettersson · 3rd 03:45 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:55 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
7
Adam Boqvist · 3rd 08:58 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 11:27 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
9
Bryan Rust · OT 01:31 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 27.
PIT 27%FLA 73%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Pickering · 1st 09:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 10:32 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 17:24 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kris Letang · 2nd 06:54 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Marcus Pettersson · 3rd 03:45 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:55 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
7
Adam Boqvist · 3rd 08:58 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 11:27 · PP · 4–4
Tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
9
Bryan Rust · OT 01:31 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
