PIT
5–2
TOR
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 12-13-4
5–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 16-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
26010313529
TOR
1819010227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 12-13-4 · TOR 16-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Penguins won 5–2. The Penguins scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 2.5 xG · 29 shots
TOR 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 04:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 06:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 14:15 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 02:32 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Michael Bunting · 3rd 05:34 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 19:20 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Kris Letang · 3rd 19:34 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 46.
PIT 46%TOR 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 04:39 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 06:35 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 1st 14:15 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 02:32 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Michael Bunting · 3rd 05:34 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Kris Letang · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Auston Matthews · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
