PIT
2–6
COL
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 12-14-4
2–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 17-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
0827012227
COL
2101839627
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
PIT 12-14-4 · COL 17-13-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–1
Penguins fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.3 expected goals); the Penguins lost 2–6. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 27 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 2.4 xG · 27 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 06:31 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 18:22 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 05:46 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 07:21 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:53 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 03:23 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 12:21 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 15:08 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 53.
PIT 53%COL 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 06:31 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 18:22 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 05:46 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 07:21 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:53 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 03:23 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 12:21 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 15:08 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
