Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 14-14-5
3–2
Final / OTW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 18-9-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
0101121811331
LAK
11011001100231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 14-14-5 · LAK 18-9-4 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Kings
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Penguins won it in overtime on Rakell's goal. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
PIT 2.8 xG · 31 shots
LAK 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adrian Kempe · 1st 00:33 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:22 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Alex Turcotte · 2nd 11:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Matt Grzelcyk · 3rd 14:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · OT 01:44 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 48.
PIT 48%LAK 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adrian Kempe · 1st 00:33 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:22 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Alex Turcotte · 2nd 11:38 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Matt Grzelcyk · 3rd 14:25 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · OT 01:44 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.