PIT
7–3
PHI
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 16-15-5
7–3
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 15-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
491528722
PHI
1921206327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 16-15-5 · PHI 15-16-4 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.2 expected goals); the Penguins won 7–3. Samuel Ersson allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 22 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 2.0 xG · 22 shots
PHI 2.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 01:29 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Egor Zamula · 1st 06:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Rickard Rakell · 1st 11:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Michael Bunting · 1st 16:15 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Philip Tomasino · 1st 17:44 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Noah Cates · 2nd 04:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Sean Couturier · 2nd 13:06 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:48 · 5–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 17:30 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 19:48 · 7–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 46.
PIT 46%PHI 54%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 01:29 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Egor Zamula · 1st 06:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Rickard Rakell · 1st 11:53 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Michael Bunting · 1st 16:15 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Philip Tomasino · 1st 17:44 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Noah Cates · 2nd 04:29 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Sean Couturier · 2nd 13:06 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:48 · 5–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 17:30 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 19:48 · PP · 7–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/14 saves · 5 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
