PIT
5–3
EDM
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 18-17-8
5–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 25-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
4131607526
EDM
17221015343
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 18-17-8 · EDM 25-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Oilers
Chances were even (2.6 to 3.1 expected goals); the Penguins won 5–3. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 3.1, on 26 and 43 shots on goal.
PIT 2.6 xG · 26 shots
EDM 3.1 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 03:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 07:22 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Hayes · 1st 09:46 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 12:33 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Drew O'Connor · 1st 13:41 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 05:42 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:58 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 19:15 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 43.
PIT 43%EDM 57%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 03:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 07:22 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Hayes · 1st 09:46 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 12:33 · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Drew O'Connor · 1st 13:41 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 05:42 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:58 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 19:15 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
40/43 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
