PIT
2–5
TBL
Final · L
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 18-19-8
2–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 23-15-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11401019233
TBL
0227310519
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–2
PIT 18-19-8 · TBL 23-15-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 0–2
Penguins fell to the Lightning
The Penguins created the better chances (3.1 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 33 and 19 shots on goal.
PIT 3.1 xG · 33 shots
TBL 1.7 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 14:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 06:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:04 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 02:17 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 16:57 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 18:48 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 19:39 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 74.
PIT 74%TBL 26%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 14:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 06:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 16:04 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 02:17 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 16:57 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
