Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 23-26-9
3–8
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 37-11-8
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
19111112332
WSH
15512213830
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
PIT 23-26-9 · WSH 37-11-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
Penguins fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.9 expected goals); the Penguins lost 3–8. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.9, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
PIT 3.8 xG · 32 shots
WSH 3.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ethen Frank · 1st 05:13 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Kris Letang · 1st 18:21 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Martin Fehérváry · 2nd 01:10 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 06:36 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 10:38 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 14:17 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 14:25 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Tom Wilson · 2nd 18:05 · 2–6 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Strome · 3rd 13:11 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Danton Heinen · 3rd 14:22 · 3–7 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
11
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 17:19 · 3–8 · wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 49.
PIT 49%WSH 51%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ethen Frank · 1st 05:13 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Kris Letang · 1st 18:21 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Martin Fehérváry · 2nd 01:10 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 06:36 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 10:38 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 14:17 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 14:25 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Tom Wilson · 2nd 18:05 · 2–6
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Strome · 3rd 13:11 · PP · 2–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Danton Heinen · 3rd 14:22 · 3–7
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
11
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 17:19 · 3–8
Wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
1st period
2nd period
6
Pierre-Luc Dubois, Trevor van Riemsdyk · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
8/13 saves · 5 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.