Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 24-28-9
5–4
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 26-26-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
063141411525
PHI
1831301501437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
PIT 24-28-9 · PHI 26-26-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Penguins beat the Flyers
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Penguins erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Malkin's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Malkin's goal. Samuel Ersson allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 37 and 25 shots on goal.
PIT 2.1 xG · 25 shots
PHI 3.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Cates · 1st 02:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 01:44 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 07:24 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Philip Tomasino · 2nd 09:05 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 09:35 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 11:05 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 18:17 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 02:30 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Evgeni Malkin · OT 01:03 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 28.
PIT 28%PHI 72%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Cates · 1st 02:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 01:44 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 07:24 · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Philip Tomasino · 2nd 09:05 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 09:35 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 11:05 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 18:17 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 02:30 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Evgeni Malkin · OT 01:03 · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
11/14 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.