Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 26-31-10
3–2
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 38-19-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
14180411317
VGK
091911900237
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 26-31-10 · VGK 38-19-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.7 expected goals); the Penguins won it in overtime on Karlsson's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 17 and 37 shots on goal.
PIT 2.3 xG · 17 shots
VGK 2.7 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 17:48 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 03:02 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 14:29 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 19:53 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Erik Karlsson · OT 00:49 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 43.
PIT 43%VGK 57%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 17:48 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 03:02 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 14:29 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 19:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Erik Karlsson · OT 00:49 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.