Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 27-31-10
5–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 31-28-7
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1521225522
STL
01511228335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 27-31-10 · STL 31-28-7 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Blues
The Penguins were outchanced (2.4 to 1.1 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Jordan Binnington allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.1, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
PIT 1.1 xG · 22 shots
STL 2.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Graves · 1st 02:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Conor Timmins · 2nd 02:20 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Zachary Bolduc · 2nd 11:35 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Connor Dewar · 2nd 17:42 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 01:26 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 07:15 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 08:56 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 19:52 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 24.
PIT 24%STL 76%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Graves · 1st 02:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Conor Timmins · 2nd 02:20 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Zachary Bolduc · 2nd 11:35 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Connor Dewar · 2nd 17:42 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 01:26 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 07:15 · GWG · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 08:56 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.