PIT
7–3
NJD
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 28-31-10
7–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 36-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
271849724
NJD
1607214327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
PIT 28-31-10 · NJD 36-26-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–2
Penguins beat the Devils
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.6 expected goals); the Penguins won 7–3. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 24 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 3.1 xG · 24 shots
NJD 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cody Glass · 1st 10:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Connor Dewar · 1st 17:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Danton Heinen · 1st 17:36 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 04:24 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 02:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 05:40 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Nico Hischier · 3rd 06:40 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 14:17 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Connor Dewar · 3rd 19:05 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 19:38 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 58.
PIT 58%NJD 42%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cody Glass · 1st 10:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Connor Dewar · 1st 17:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Danton Heinen · 1st 17:36 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 04:24 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 02:22 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 05:40 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Nico Hischier · 3rd 06:40 · PP · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 14:17 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Connor Dewar · 3rd 19:05 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Kevin Hayes · 3rd 19:38 · 7–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/23 saves · 6 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
