Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 28-32-10
2–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 31-28-8
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
290804221
NYI
012013413438
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–3
PIT 28-32-10 · NYI 31-28-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–3
Penguins fell to the Islanders
The Penguins let a 2–0 lead get away: the Islanders came back with four unanswered goals — Dobson's equalizer — and won 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 38 and 21 shots on goal.
PIT 2.0 xG · 21 shots
NYI 2.8 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 04:40 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 19:45 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 00:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Noah Dobson · 3rd 05:34 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 13:08 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:28 · 2–4 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 38.
PIT 38%NYI 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 04:40 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 19:45 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 00:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Noah Dobson · 3rd 05:34 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 13:08 · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
1
Vladislav Kolyachonok, Kris Letang · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.