PIT
5–2
WSH
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 34-36-12
5–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 51-22-9
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
113211214538
WSH
1511203220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
PIT 34-36-12 · WSH 51-22-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Penguins beat the Capitals
The Penguins earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Clay Stevenson allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 38 and 20 shots on goal.
PIT 3.5 xG · 38 shots
WSH 2.1 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 04:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 04:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 07:19 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 11:56 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 16:56 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Danton Heinen · 3rd 08:46 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 09:01 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 73.
PIT 73%WSH 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 04:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 04:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 07:19 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 11:56 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 16:56 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Danton Heinen · 3rd 08:46 · SH · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 09:01 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
