PIT
4–3
NYI
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 2-0-0
4–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
1112918428
NYI
112213012337
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 2-0-0 · NYI 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.2 expected goals); the Penguins won 4–3. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 28 and 37 shots on goal.
PIT 2.9 xG · 28 shots
NYI 3.2 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 03:23 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 12:02 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 04:04 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Harrison Brunicke · 2nd 05:41 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 08:58 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Maxim Shabanov · 2nd 19:19 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 14:21 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 46.
PIT 46%NYI 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rickard Rakell · 1st 03:23 · PP · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 12:02 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 04:04 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Harrison Brunicke · 2nd 05:41 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 08:58 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Maxim Shabanov · 2nd 19:19 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 14:21 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:00
Alexander Romanov· High-sticking
Alexander Romanov· High-sticking
Rakell scored on this power play
Minor
1
Evgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby · Power play (Romanov, high-sticking) · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:41
Noel Acciari· Delaying game puck over glass
Noel Acciari· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:00
Kyle Palmieri· Roughing
Kyle Palmieri· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:00
Parker Wotherspoon· Roughing
Parker Wotherspoon· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Bo Horvat· Hooking
Bo Horvat· Hooking
Crosby scored on this power play
Minor
5
Evgeni Malkin, Rickard Rakell · Power play (Horvat, hooking) · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:40
Erik Karlsson· Tripping
Erik Karlsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:38
Mathew Barzal· Tripping
Mathew Barzal· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:15
Simon Holmstrom· Hooking
Simon Holmstrom· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:15
Ben Kindel· Hooking
Ben Kindel· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
19:45
Jonathan Drouin· Cross-checking
Jonathan Drouin· Cross-checking
Killed
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:45
Jonathan Drouin· Game
Jonathan Drouin· Game
Misconduct
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Penguins went 2-for-5 on the power play and killed all 3 Islanders power plays.