PIT
6–3
STL
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 7-2-1
6–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
2101838626
STL
28010110328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 7-2-1 · STL 3-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Penguins won 6–3. Joel Hofer allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 26 and 28 shots on goal.
PIT 2.7 xG · 26 shots
STL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 00:39 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Anthony Mantha · 1st 00:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 04:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 15:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Parker Wotherspoon · 2nd 06:37 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 00:42 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 04:35 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 16:39 · 5–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
9
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 16:59 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 46.
PIT 46%STL 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 5 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 00:39 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Anthony Mantha · 1st 00:55 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 04:15 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 15:43 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Parker Wotherspoon · 2nd 06:37 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 00:42 · GWG · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 04:35 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 16:39 · 5–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
9
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 16:59 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:04
Tommy Novak· High-sticking
Tommy Novak· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:17
Tommy Novak· Tripping
Tommy Novak· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:10
Harrison Brunicke· Tripping
Harrison Brunicke· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:39
Evgeni Malkin· Slashing
Evgeni Malkin· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:39
Nick Bjugstad· Slashing
Nick Bjugstad· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Penguins killed all 3 Blues power plays.