Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 17-12-9
5–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
3132807528
CAR
01011008128
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 17-12-9 · CAR 24-12-3 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Hurricanes
The Penguins earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.
PIT 2.9 xG · 28 shots
CAR 1.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 03:46 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Justin Brazeau · 1st 16:07 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 1st 17:12 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 15:08 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 18:08 · 5–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 18:25 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 66.
PIT 66%CAR 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 03:46 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Justin Brazeau · 1st 16:07 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 1st 17:12 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 15:08 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 18:08 · 5–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 18:25 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:40
K'Andre Miller· Interference
Mantha scored on this power play
Minor
3
Bryan Rust, Erik Karlsson · Power play (Miller, interference) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:24
Jackson Blake· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
4
Parker Wotherspoon, Erik Karlsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–0
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Penguins went 1-for-2 on the power play.