PIT 5–1 CAR Final · W
Penguins/Schedule/Recap Tue, Dec 30, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 17-12-9
5–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT PIT 3132807528 CAR 01011008128 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 17-12-9 · CAR 24-12-3 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0

Penguins beat the Hurricanes

The Penguins earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

The Penguins created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.

PIT 2.9 xG · 28 shots CAR 1.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 1.6 · 0.9
2nd 0.7 · 0.5
3rd 0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 66.
PIT 66%CAR 34%

Goals and penalties

6 goals · 2 penalties
← Penguins shoot this way Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Rickard Rakell, Bryan Rust · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1–0
2
16:07 Justin Brazeau GWG
Brett Kulak · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2–0
PEN
16:40 K'Andre Miller· Interference
Mantha scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
3
17:12 Anthony Mantha PP
Bryan Rust, Erik Karlsson · Power play (Miller, interference) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3–0
PEN
17:24 Jackson Blake· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
4
15:08 Tommy Novak
Parker Wotherspoon, Erik Karlsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–0
5
Justin Brazeau, Tommy Novak · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5–0
6
Joel Nystrom, Mike Reilly · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–1
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Goaltending
+0.9
vs expected
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
−2.1
vs expected
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team PITCAR
Shots on goal
28
28
Expected goals
2.9
1.9
Hits
15
21
Blocks
16
22
Faceoffs
53%
47%
Power play
1/2
0/0
Penalty minutes
0
4
The Penguins went 1-for-2 on the power play.