Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 18-12-9
4–3
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 24-14-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT
260911412431
DET
1101101700327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
PIT 18-12-9 · DET 24-14-4 · First meeting this season — the Penguins lead the season series 1–0
Penguins beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Penguins won it in overtime on Letang's goal. Cam Talbot allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
PIT 2.6 xG · 31 shots
DET 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 04:08 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 05:46 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 17:46 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Andrew Copp · 2nd 01:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 15:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 17:02 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
7
Kris Letang · OT 00:58 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 49.
PIT 49%DET 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 04:08 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 05:46 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 17:46 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Andrew Copp · 2nd 01:01 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 15:51 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 17:02 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
7
Kris Letang · OT 00:58 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:20
Sidney Crosby· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:44
Nate Danielson· Holding
Crosby scored on this power play
Minor
1
Anthony Mantha, Erik Karlsson · Power play (Danielson, holding) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:43
Brett Kulak· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:47
Parker Wotherspoon· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
16:19
Tommy Novak· High-sticking
Riemsdyk scored on this power play
Double minor
3
Marco Kasper, Simon Edvinsson · Power play (Novak, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:09
Bryan Rust· Abuse of officials
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:42
Lucas Raymond· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:01
Lucas Raymond· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:08
Blake Lizotte· Tripping
Killed
Minor
5
Erik Karlsson, Parker Wotherspoon · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:14
Jack St. Ivany· Delaying game puck over glass
DeBrincat scored on this power play
Minor
6
Lucas Raymond, Dylan Larkin · Power play (Ivany, delaying game puck over glass) · backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
3–3
Overtime
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Penguins went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 7 Red Wings power plays.