Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 31-17-13
1–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 37-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
16012010128
BUF
1731118526
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
PIT 31-17-13 · BUF 37-19-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–1
Penguins fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.6 expected goals); the Penguins lost 1–5. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 26 shots on goal.
PIT 2.9 xG · 28 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 12:00 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 14:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Josh Norris · 2nd 04:10 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 06:18 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Owen Power · 2nd 10:30 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Mattias Samuelsson · 3rd 16:53 · 1–5 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 56.
PIT 56%BUF 44%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 13 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 12:00 · SH · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 14:48 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Josh Norris · 2nd 04:10 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 06:18 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Owen Power · 2nd 10:30 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Mattias Samuelsson · 3rd 16:53 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:22
Peyton Krebs· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:16
Erik Karlsson· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
10:24
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Noel Acciari· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:38
Rasmus Dahlin· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:38
Evgeni Malkin· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
00:38
Evgeni Malkin· Slashing
Killed
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
00:38
Evgeni Malkin· Game
Misconduct
3
Josh Doan, Bowen Byram · Power play (delaying game unsuccessful challenge) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
04:10
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Norris scored on this power play
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:25
Ryan McLeod· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:44
Beck Malenstyn· Boarding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:04
Ben Kindel· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:54
Rasmus Dahlin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Penguins went 0-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Sabres power plays.