Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 31-17-14
3–4
Final / SOL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-22-11
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PIT
182704040323
PHI
122805011416
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
PIT 31-17-14 · PHI 29-22-11 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Penguins fell to the Flyers
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.2 expected goals); the Penguins lost it in a shootout. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 23 and 16 shots on goal.
PIT 2.1 xG · 23 shots
PHI 2.2 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 03:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Owen Tippett · 1st 03:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 03:38 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Alex Bump · 2nd 04:46 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 05:45 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Denver Barkey · 2nd 10:03 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 48.
PIT 48%PHI 52%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 03:00 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Owen Tippett · 1st 03:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 03:38 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Alex Bump · 2nd 04:46 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 05:45 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Denver Barkey · 2nd 10:03 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:31
Rasmus Ristolainen· Holding
Novak scored on this power play
Minor
1
Justin Brazeau, Ville Koivunen · Power play (Ristolainen, holding) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:12
Luke Glendening· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:44
Justin Brazeau· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:40
Jamie Drysdale· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
18:40
Jamie Drysdale· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
18:40
Avery Hayes· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:02
Kris Letang· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:51
Dan Vladar· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:54
Christian Dvorak· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:19
Carl Grundstrom· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Anthony Mantha
Save
2
Matvei Michkov
Save
3
Rickard Rakell
Save
4
Trevor Zegras
Goal
5
Egor Chinakhov
Save
Goaltending
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Penguins went 1-for-5 on the power play and killed all 2 Flyers power plays.