PIT
5–4
WPG
Final / SO · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 35-18-16
5–4
Final / SOW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 28-29-12
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PIT
2131816051532
WPG
181828010425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 35-18-16 · WPG 28-29-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins beat the Jets
The Penguins were outchanced (3.9 to 2.0 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 25 and 32 shots on goal.
PIT 2.0 xG · 32 shots
WPG 3.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.8 · 2.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 01:06 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 02:02 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Morgan Barron · 1st 03:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (76%)
4
Cole Koepke · 2nd 06:10 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 15:22 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Neal Pionk · 3rd 04:04 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brad Lambert · 3rd 08:36 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 12:45 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 22.
PIT 22%WPG 78%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 3 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 01:06 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 02:02 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Morgan Barron · 1st 03:50 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (76%)
4
Cole Koepke · 2nd 06:10 · SH · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 15:22 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Neal Pionk · 3rd 04:04 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brad Lambert · 3rd 08:36 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 12:45 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
03:50
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:44
Elias Salomonsson· High-sticking
Elias Salomonsson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
5
Parker Wotherspoon, Egor Chinakhov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:40
Josh Morrissey· Slashing
Josh Morrissey· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Egor Chinakhov
Save
Egor Chinakhov
Save2
Jonathan Toews
Save
Jonathan Toews
Save3
Sidney Crosby
Goal
Sidney Crosby
Goal4
Gustav Nyquist
Save
Gustav Nyquist
Save5
Rickard Rakell
Goal
Rickard Rakell
Goal
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Penguins went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Jets power play.