Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 35-19-16
1–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 45-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
050618119
CAR
1931017526
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–3
PIT 35-19-16 · CAR 45-19-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Penguins trail the season series 1–3
Penguins fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.6 expected goals); the Penguins lost 1–5. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 19 and 26 shots on goal.
PIT 2.7 xG · 19 shots
CAR 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 00:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 06:24 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 09:15 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:20 · 0–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Egor Chinakhov · 3rd 14:56 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (48%)
6
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 18:56 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 51.
PIT 51%CAR 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 00:47 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 06:24 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 09:15 · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:20 · PP · 0–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Egor Chinakhov · 3rd 14:56 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (48%)
6
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 18:56 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:25
Ryan Graves· Tripping
Aho scored on this power play
Minor
1
Seth Jarvis · Power play (Graves, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:24
Samuel Girard· Cross-checking
Ehlers scored on this power play
Minor
2
Seth Jarvis, Alexander Nikishin · Power play (Girard, cross-checking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:40
Mike Reilly· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:39
Anthony Mantha· Roughing
Jarvis scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:39
Evgeni Malkin· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:39
Taylor Hall· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
4
Nikolaj Ehlers, Andrei Svechnikov · Power play (Mantha, roughing) · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
0–4
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:28
Erik Karlsson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Jordan Martinook· Holding the stick
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Parker Wotherspoon· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:40
Elmer Soderblom· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:22
Mike Reilly· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Penguins went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 3 on 4 Hurricanes power plays.