Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 35-20-16
2–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 47-13-10
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11107114232
COL
4161519630
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
PIT 35-20-16 · COL 47-13-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Penguins fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Penguins lost 2–6. Arturs Silovs allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
PIT 3.4 xG · 32 shots
COL 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.5
2nd
1.2 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 04:57 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (47%)
2
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 08:09 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Sam Malinski · 1st 15:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 1st 16:44 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Parker Kelly · 1st 17:19 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 17:29 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 11:47 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 16:20 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 58.
PIT 58%COL 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 04:57 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (47%)
2
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 08:09 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Sam Malinski · 1st 15:24 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 1st 16:44 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Parker Kelly · 1st 17:19 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 17:29 · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 11:47 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 16:20 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:39
Noel Acciari· Tripping
Necas scored on this power play
Minor
4
Cale Makar, Brock Nelson · Power play (Acciari, tripping) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–3
2nd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
08:25
Nazem Kadri· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:57
Brent Burns· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:54
Josh Manson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:01
Logan O'Connor· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:01
Anthony Mantha· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:28
Kris Letang· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:49
Bryan Rust· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Penguins went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Avalanche power plays.