San Jose Sharks
SJS · 3-7-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
SJS
1521401012431
TOR
191611000325
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sharks lead the season series 1–0
SJS 3-7-0 · TOR 4-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Sharks lead the season series 1–0
Sharks beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Sharks won it in overtime on Karlsson's goal. Erik Kallgren allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
SJS 2.7 xG · 31 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Couture · 1st 00:26 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
David Kampf · 1st 05:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Logan Couture · 2nd 05:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 05:57 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 19:37 · 3–2 · tip in shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 05:38 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · OT 00:57 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 57.
SJS 57%TOR 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Couture · 1st 00:26 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
David Kampf · 1st 05:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Logan Couture · 2nd 05:15 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 05:57 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 19:37 · 3–2
Tip in shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 05:38 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · OT 00:57 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
1
Matt Nieto, Alexander Barabanov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
5
Morgan Rielly, Alexander Kerfoot · tip in shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.