San Jose Sharks
SJS · 10-17-6
2–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 14-12-6
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
13013110226
CGY
1101738525
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–1
SJS 10-17-6 · CGY 14-12-6 · First meeting this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–1
Sharks fell to the Flames
Chances were even (2.6 to 3.0 expected goals); the Sharks lost 2–5. Kaapo Kahkonen allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
SJS 2.6 xG · 26 shots
CGY 3.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 07:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Timo Meier · 1st 11:11 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
· 2nd 06:01 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 00:16 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 00:35 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Dillon Dube · 3rd 02:10 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 07:56 · 2–5 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 43.
SJS 43%CGY 57%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 07:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Timo Meier · 1st 11:11 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
· 2nd 06:01 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 00:16 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 00:35 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Dillon Dube · 3rd 02:10 · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 07:56 · PP · 2–5
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.