San Jose Sharks
SJS · 10-18-6
3–7
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 15-12-6
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
1915113327
CGY
212112415739
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–2
SJS 10-18-6 · CGY 15-12-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–2
Sharks fell to the Flames
The Sharks were outchanced (3.3 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 3–7. James Reimer allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 39 and 27 shots on goal.
SJS 2.5 xG · 27 shots
CGY 3.3 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 00:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Dillon Dube · 1st 00:30 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Nico Sturm · 1st 14:58 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 10:04 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Alexander Barabanov · 2nd 19:23 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 03:58 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 10:04 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
· 3rd 16:43 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:22 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:42 · 3–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 36.
SJS 36%CGY 64%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 00:15 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Dillon Dube · 1st 00:30 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Nico Sturm · 1st 14:58 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 10:04 · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Alexander Barabanov · 2nd 19:23 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Timo Meier · 3rd 03:58 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 10:04 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
· 3rd 16:43 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:22 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:42 · 3–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/38 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.