SJS
5–2
MIN
Final · W
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 11-18-6
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 19-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
21021114525
MIN
11016010226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–0
SJS 11-18-6 · MIN 19-12-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–0
Sharks beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.2 expected goals); the Sharks won 5–2. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 25 and 26 shots on goal.
SJS 2.5 xG · 25 shots
MIN 2.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Karlsson · 1st 00:44 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 02:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
· 1st 11:37 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 12:47 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Oskar Lindblom · 2nd 17:19 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 19:54 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 19:46 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 54.
SJS 54%MIN 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sharks shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Karlsson · 1st 00:44 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 02:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
· 1st 11:37 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 12:47 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Oskar Lindblom · 2nd 17:19 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 19:54 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 19:46 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
