San Jose Sharks
SJS · 17-29-11
2–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 28-22-4
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
11411308235
BUF
1518218431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–2
SJS 17-29-11 · BUF 28-22-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–2
Sharks fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.0 expected goals); the Sharks lost 2–4. The Sabres owned the 3rd period, 1.8 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
SJS 2.9 xG · 35 shots
BUF 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 03:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Evgeny Svechnikov · 1st 16:49 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Owen Power · 2nd 06:26 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Alexander Barabanov · 2nd 11:57 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 3rd 09:52 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:59 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 48.
SJS 48%BUF 52%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 03:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Evgeny Svechnikov · 1st 16:49 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Owen Power · 2nd 06:26 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Alexander Barabanov · 2nd 11:57 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
· 3rd 09:52 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:59 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.