San Jose Sharks
SJS · 21-39-15
4–3
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 46-22-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
SJS
261501311425
VGK
151411700326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
SJS 21-39-15 · VGK 46-22-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Sharks beat the Golden Knights
The Sharks were outchanced (3.3 to 2.4 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Couture's goal anyway. Laurent Brossoit allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
SJS 2.4 xG · 25 shots
VGK 3.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mario Ferraro · 1st 04:16 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Oskar Lindblom · 1st 14:31 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nicolas Hague · 1st 16:55 · 2–1 · slap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 01:08 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 11:47 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 10:07 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Logan Couture · OT 00:50 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 37.
SJS 37%VGK 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mario Ferraro · 1st 04:16 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Oskar Lindblom · 1st 14:31 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nicolas Hague · 1st 16:55 · 2–1
Slap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 01:08 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 11:47 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 10:07 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Logan Couture · OT 00:50 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.