San Jose Sharks
SJS · 9-28-3
1–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 20-10-7
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
0309112124
TOR
1161828432
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–1
SJS 9-28-3 · TOR 20-10-7 · First meeting this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–1
Sharks fell to the Maple Leafs
The Sharks were outchanced (3.7 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Maple Leafs owned the 1st period, 2.3 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 24 shots on goal.
SJS 1.8 xG · 24 shots
TOR 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.2 · 2.3
2nd
0.5 · 0.4
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 15:22 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 19:17 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 09:34 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 11:57 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 16:28 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 21.
SJS 21%TOR 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 15:22 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 19:17 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 09:34 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 11:57 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 16:28 · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Pontus Holmberg, Timothy Liljegren · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.