San Jose Sharks
SJS · 11-31-4
5–3
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 15-29-1
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
0235212519
ANA
01228114334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
SJS 11-31-4 · ANA 15-29-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sharks beat the Ducks
The Sharks were outchanced (3.5 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. John Gibson allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 34 and 19 shots on goal.
SJS 1.8 xG · 19 shots
ANA 3.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marc-Edouard Vlasic · 2nd 15:06 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 15:21 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Burroughs · 2nd 17:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 19:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Adam Henrique · 2nd 19:56 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jan Rutta · 3rd 12:15 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 15:11 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 19:53 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 23.
SJS 23%ANA 77%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marc-Edouard Vlasic · 2nd 15:06 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 15:21 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Burroughs · 2nd 17:33 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 19:32 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Adam Henrique · 2nd 19:56 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jan Rutta · 3rd 12:15 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 15:11 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.