San Jose Sharks
SJS · 12-23-6
2–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
1911204225
TBL
0816011125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
SJS 12-23-6 · TBL 20-13-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sharks beat the Lightning
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.4 expected goals); the Sharks won 2–1. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
SJS 1.9 xG · 25 shots
TBL 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 13:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mario Ferraro · 2nd 12:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 17:44 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 42.
SJS 42%TBL 58%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 13:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mario Ferraro · 2nd 12:55 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 17:44 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.