San Jose Sharks
SJS · 15-34-6
3–4
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 25-23-5
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
11119110330
MTL
072627420
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–1
SJS 15-34-6 · MTL 25-23-5 · First meeting this season — the Sharks trail the season series 0–1
Sharks fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Sharks lost 3–4. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
SJS 3.3 xG · 30 shots
MTL 3.0 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Macklin Celebrini · 1st 05:52 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 00:52 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Alex Newhook · 2nd 04:53 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Collin Graf · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 02:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 10:27 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Joel Armia · 3rd 15:56 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 55.
SJS 55%MTL 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Macklin Celebrini · 1st 05:52 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 00:52 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Alex Newhook · 2nd 04:53 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Collin Graf · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 02:40 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 10:27 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Joel Armia · 3rd 15:56 · SH · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.