San Jose Sharks
SJS · 20-42-9
6–5
Final / SOW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 43-25-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
SJS
21621017021635
TOR
11021128060535
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–0
SJS 20-42-9 · TOR 43-25-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–0
Sharks beat the Maple Leafs
The Sharks were outchanced (4.6 to 3.3 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Joseph Woll allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 35 shots on goal.
SJS 3.3 xG · 35 shots
TOR 4.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 1.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
OT · the swing
0.1 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 07:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (84%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 14:40 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Collin Graf · 1st 17:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 01:39 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:46 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (72%)
6
William Eklund · 2nd 13:18 · 4–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Scott Laughton · 2nd 15:13 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 03:02 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
John Tavares · 3rd 19:01 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
William Nylander · 3rd 19:46 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 34.
SJS 34%TOR 66%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 07:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (84%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 14:40 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Collin Graf · 1st 17:45 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 01:39 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:46 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (72%)
6
William Eklund · 2nd 13:18 · 4–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Scott Laughton · 2nd 15:13 · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 03:02 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
John Tavares · 3rd 19:01 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
William Nylander · 3rd 19:46 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
William Eklund, Macklin Celebrini · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–3
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Sharks
Goaltending
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 4.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.