San Jose Sharks
SJS · 13-11-3
6–3
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 12-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS
31331502630
UTA
21201715334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–1
SJS 13-11-3 · UTA 12-12-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sharks lead the season series 2–1
Sharks beat the Mammoth
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.5 expected goals); the Sharks won 6–3. Karel Vejmelka allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 34 shots on goal.
SJS 3.0 xG · 30 shots
UTA 2.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
1.4 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 04:41 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Pavol Regenda · 1st 07:58 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 1st 09:06 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 12:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
JJ Peterka · 1st 16:00 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Will Smith · 2nd 06:16 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 07:25 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Will Smith · 2nd 09:09 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 06:30 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sharks win 58.
SJS 58%UTA 42%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 04:41 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Pavol Regenda · 1st 07:58 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Lawson Crouse · 1st 09:06 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 12:59 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
JJ Peterka · 1st 16:00 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Will Smith · 2nd 06:16 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 07:25 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Will Smith · 2nd 09:09 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 06:30 · SH · 6–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.